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Red49
339717.0
684315.4
359316.8
Blue46
766212.9
178517.3
445512.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53422030607080904946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#29
17.00.2
17.216.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.7
End3.8
blue by 0.3
1785
#20
17.30.4
16.416.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Second
3593
#28
16.80.2
17.417.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 3.9
7662
#18
12.90.6
11.011.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End3.3
Third
6843
#33
15.40.4
15.114.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End4.8
red by 2.9
4455
#36
12.50.6
12.713.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsMissed