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Red60
193923.7
245126.4
93811.8
Blue86
180620.6
175627.3
543718.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616440507080906086

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.1
26.726.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.4
End7.4
blue by 0.9
27.31.5
28.530.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End9.3
Second
1939
#19
23.70.1
22.222.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End6.1
red by 3.1
1806
#15
20.61.5
15.517.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Third
938
#26
11.80.1
9.19.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End3.2
blue by 6.4
5437
#10
18.21.5
16.818.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsEarned