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Red53
198418.9
181021.7
176412.6
Blue41
178512.7
184712.7
177513.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4540203050605341

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.1
18.119.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End7.0
red by 8.1
1775
#20
13.60.0
14.214.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End3.1
Second
1984
#11
18.91.1
14.415.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 6.2
1785
#16
12.70.0
11.811.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Third
1764
#24
12.60.7
10.210.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 0.1
1847
#17
12.70.0
11.811.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed