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Red46
176913.7
654212.1
509815.5
Blue66
176310.2
235715.5
272318.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43452030405060704666

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#19
15.50.4
15.615.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End4.9
blue by 3.3
18.90.4
18.719.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Second
1769
#25
13.70.6
13.914.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 1.8
2357
#23
15.50.4
14.214.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End3.5
Third
6542
#28
12.10.6
11.011.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End2.6
red by 1.9
1763
#18
10.20.6
9.910.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed