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Red35
235715.5
11089.5
59186.6
Blue39
58099.6
176412.6
180215.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33341020304050603539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#23
15.50.1
14.414.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End3.5
red by 0.2
1802
#10
15.20.7
12.913.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End5.3
Second
1108
#32
9.50.1
9.08.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 3.1
1764
#24
12.60.5
11.111.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Third
5918
#21
6.60.2
7.87.5
Auto2.3
Teleop0.8
End3.6
blue by 3.0
5809
#15
9.60.5
8.18.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed