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Red40
178512.7
596811.5
328423.0
Blue67
198629.8
509815.5
508214.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46642040801004067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.4
19.218.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.4
blue by 6.7
29.80.3
29.830.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End10.6
Second
1785
#16
12.70.7
11.811.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End3.3
blue by 2.8
5098
#19
15.50.3
15.816.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End4.9
Third
5968
#30
11.50.7
12.411.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 3.2
14.70.3
14.614.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed83%HAB Docking oddsEarned