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Red31
432924.4
20109.8
514712.9
Blue37
777317.7
144418.9
58365.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423702060803137

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.9
14.013.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End8.6
red by 5.5
1444
#16
18.90.3
13.013.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Second
5147
#46
12.90.9
12.111.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.8
End2.8
blue by 4.8
7773
#11
17.77.3
17.610.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End4.4
Third
2010
#44
9.80.9
13.212.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.1
red by 4.5
5836
#39
5.40.3
11.611.9
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed