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Red42
77467.5
132918.6
339715.5
Blue50
198511.1
517620.0
125927.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060804250

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#37
18.60.6
12.913.5
Auto2.8
Teleop13.7
End2.2
blue by 8.7
27.30.9
16.117.1
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End4.5
Second
3397
#28
15.50.6
13.314.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End3.4
blue by 4.4
20.00.9
12.113.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End7.4
Third
7746
#34
7.53.3
7.510.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.3
End1.4
blue by 3.6
1985
#30
11.10.9
13.414.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed