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Red41
117814.4
774715.6
319715.2
Blue26
424613.5
435617.8
68179.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414002060801004126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7747
#18
15.65.3
15.610.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
blue by 2.1
17.81.3
13.111.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End8.5
Second
3197
#32
15.20.2
14.915.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End3.8
red by 1.6
4246
#36
13.51.3
12.611.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.5
Third
1178
#22
14.40.2
14.114.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End3.7
red by 4.6
6817
#33
9.81.3
12.411.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed