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Red46
749610.2
128810.9
450022.8
Blue45
414325.9
270710.3
70613.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38491020306070804645

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#12
22.80.7
19.019.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End5.4
blue by 3.1
25.90.2
20.720.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End8.4
Second
1288
#23
10.91.1
10.311.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
blue by 2.8
706
#14
13.60.2
16.216.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End3.1
Third
7496
#41
10.21.1
6.67.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End1.6
blue by 0.1
2707
#40
10.30.2
9.59.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsEarned