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Red16
77467.5
50609.7
433013.0
Blue55
117814.4
421324.4
20109.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334810204060701655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4330
#45
13.01.7
10.18.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
blue by 11.4
4213
#10
24.41.1
19.921.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End4.6
Second
5060
#42
9.71.7
11.59.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End2.9
blue by 4.7
1178
#22
14.41.1
14.815.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End3.7
Third
7746
#34
7.51.7
9.67.9
Auto1.8
Teleop4.3
End1.4
blue by 2.4
2010
#44
9.81.1
10.411.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed