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Red48
774715.6
333016.5
170613.7
Blue18
50609.7
70613.6
58365.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47351020304060704818

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3330
#13
16.50.3
16.016.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End2.5
red by 2.9
706
#14
13.61.4
15.013.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End3.1
Second
7747
#18
15.60.3
15.515.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 5.9
5060
#42
9.71.3
11.09.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Third
1706
#24
13.70.3
13.213.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.0
red by 8.3
5836
#39
5.41.3
6.75.4
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed