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Red45
297814.9
24087.4
144418.9
Blue39
424613.5
20109.8
493122.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425120306070804539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1444
#16
18.90.5
18.418.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 3.7
22.61.2
22.721.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End8.9
Second
2978
#15
14.90.5
14.514.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End3.5
red by 1.4
4246
#36
13.51.2
14.713.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.5
Third
2408
#47
7.40.5
7.07.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End2.2
blue by 2.4
2010
#44
9.81.3
11.29.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsMissed