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Red76
674417.5
435617.8
432924.4
Blue46
450022.8
433013.0
198511.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58472040801007646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.41.3
22.924.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End8.6
red by 1.6
4500
#12
22.80.1
20.820.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End5.4
Second
17.81.4
16.117.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End8.5
red by 4.8
4330
#45
13.00.1
12.913.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Third
6744
#21
17.51.3
16.117.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 6.4
1985
#30
11.10.1
10.911.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed