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Red64
171225.2
192325.9
334016.4
Blue36
428517.1
694310.6
219113.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7145204060801006436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
24.824.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End6.2
red by 8.8
4285
#54
17.10.4
17.517.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End4.2
Second
1712
#24
25.20.2
25.425.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End5.2
red by 11.9
2191
#53
13.40.4
13.813.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
3340
#51
16.40.2
16.616.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End6.0
red by 5.9
6943
#60
10.60.4
11.010.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed