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Red84
599220.4
253928.2
83427.5
Blue65
5627.7
445414.5
540425.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837340601008465

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#17
28.20.2
28.028.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.2
End7.5
red by 0.5
56
#6
27.70.3
28.928.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End8.9
Second
834
#22
27.50.2
28.728.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.8
End6.3
red by 2.3
5404
#20
25.20.3
25.525.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.1
End7.8
Third
5992
#10
20.40.2
21.621.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End3.0
red by 5.9
4454
#56
14.50.3
14.714.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned