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Red80
70820.3
259026.6
10223.1
Blue65
2522.3
139124.5
272926.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7482506070901001108065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#46
26.60.6
27.328.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End5.2
blue by 0.2
2729
#34
26.80.8
28.327.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End7.4
Second
102
#12
23.10.6
22.523.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.9
blue by 1.4
1391
#14
24.50.8
25.324.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End5.8
Third
708
#31
20.30.6
20.521.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End6.1
blue by 2.0
25
#59
22.30.8
24.123.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsMissed