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Red29
393321.5
401010.5
352712.0
Blue71
569614.4
664721.6
775310.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374201020305060702971

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.7
17.516.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End5.2
blue by 0.2
21.61.7
18.216.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
3527
#17
12.01.0
11.210.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
blue by 2.3
14.42.1
11.79.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Third
4010
#23
10.50.7
6.55.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End0.9
blue by 0.2
7753
#12
10.76.5
14.58.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed