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Red27
534412.8
66068.1
348017.7
Blue26
463520.7
594811.2
379411.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4346102030506070802726

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#10
17.71.4
17.516.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End3.6
blue by 3.0
4635
#20
20.72.2
21.519.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End4.4
Second
5344
#14
12.81.8
11.09.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End3.5
red by 1.6
11.22.2
10.17.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
6606
#15
8.11.8
12.110.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 3.0
3794
#21
11.12.9
12.09.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed