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Red34
379411.1
352712.0
569614.4
Blue25
571615.6
716114.9
47316.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2835010204050603425

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.2
8.89.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End3.6
blue by 1.2
5716
#26
15.61.3
11.710.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End2.9
Second
3527
#17
12.00.2
7.77.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
blue by 2.9
7161
#11Sur
14.91.3
12.711.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Third
3794
#21Sur
11.10.2
9.910.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End3.3
red by 4.2
4731
#22
6.91.3
8.87.5
Auto1.0
Teleop3.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed