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Red50
477520.0
335415.3
664721.6
Blue40
541211.9
348017.7
463520.7
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4748304060705040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.4
16.016.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End5.2
red by 0.9
4635
#20
20.70.4
20.019.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End4.4
Second
20.00.4
16.116.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End5.1
red by 2.3
3480
#10
17.70.4
16.816.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End3.6
Third
3354
#6Sur
15.30.7
12.012.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
red by 3.4
5412
#19
11.90.6
8.68.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed