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Red44
58876.3
347212.9
463520.7
Blue48
335415.3
534412.8
352712.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363101020405060704448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#20
20.70.6
20.320.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End4.4
red by 5.4
15.31.0
12.713.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Second
12.91.1
9.210.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 0.1
5344
#14
12.81.0
9.210.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
5887
#27
6.31.1
4.96.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 5.7
3527
#17
12.01.0
7.78.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed