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Red44
348017.7
47316.9
569614.4
Blue43
228318.2
477520.0
767812.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314310204050604443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#10
17.70.9
16.117.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End3.6
blue by 2.3
20.00.2
17.117.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End5.1
Second
14.41.6
7.38.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End3.6
blue by 3.9
2283
#16
18.20.3
14.414.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End4.3
Third
4731
#22
6.91.6
6.47.9
Auto1.0
Teleop3.5
End2.3
blue by 5.3
7678
#24
12.20.3
9.29.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed