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Red39
347212.9
228318.2
352712.0
Blue45
66068.1
477520.0
664721.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4246102030506070803945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#16
18.20.0
16.916.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End4.3
blue by 3.4
21.60.1
19.419.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
12.90.0
11.211.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.3
blue by 7.0
20.00.1
18.017.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End5.1
Third
3527
#17
12.00.0
11.311.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
red by 4.0
6606
#15
8.10.2
6.46.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed