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Red58
569614.4
716114.9
767812.2
Blue50
401010.5
463520.7
437111.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263801020305060705850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7161
#11
14.92.8
10.112.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 5.8
4635
#20
20.70.9
20.321.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End4.4
Second
14.42.8
7.510.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End3.6
red by 3.1
4371
#13
11.31.5
8.710.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.6
End4.0
Third
7678
#24
12.22.8
7.210.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
red by 1.6
4010
#23
10.50.9
7.18.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed