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Red58
463520.7
477520.0
775310.7
Blue28
767812.2
541211.9
775210.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5334102030406070805828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#20
20.70.5
21.321.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End4.4
red by 8.6
7678
#24
12.20.4
9.69.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Second
20.00.5
17.418.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End5.1
red by 8.0
5412
#19
11.90.4
12.712.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Third
7753
#12
10.70.7
11.111.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 0.1
7752
#18
10.80.4
9.99.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed