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Red45
228318.2
379411.1
440113.3
Blue49
352712.0
66068.1
594811.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423001020506070804549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#16
18.20.5
16.216.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End4.3
red by 6.2
3527
#17
12.01.8
11.413.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
Second
4401
#25
13.30.5
11.211.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
red by 2.1
11.21.4
9.811.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
3794
#21
11.10.5
12.512.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End3.3
red by 3.0
6606
#15
8.11.8
7.18.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed