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Red21
458414.3
63198.9
44039.0
Blue14
621811.1
634810.9
47826.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34290102040506070802114

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.31.3
10.79.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
red by 3.1
6218
#25
11.11.5
9.27.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Second
4403
#14
9.01.3
10.69.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 1.9
6348
#12
10.91.5
10.48.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Third
6319
#19
8.91.3
11.29.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End1.9
red by 2.0
4782
#20
6.91.5
8.16.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed