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Red43
664718.2
348017.5
61567.8
Blue32
51337.7
473510.4
393317.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373102060804332

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#16
18.20.9
13.414.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End3.9
red by 0.7
3933
#11
17.50.3
11.611.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
17.50.9
11.212.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 7.1
4735
#42
10.40.3
9.59.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
6156
#41
7.80.9
10.611.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.4
Level
5133
#39
7.70.3
8.48.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed