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Red32
40106.5
669414.4
774012.2
Blue27
531216.1
594810.1
43558.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293510204050603227

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.41.2
9.48.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.2
blue by 1.7
5312
#10
16.10.7
12.011.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End3.4
Second
12.21.2
8.06.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
red by 2.1
5948
#34
10.10.7
9.79.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Third
4010
#22
6.51.2
10.39.1
Auto1.5
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 1.8
4355
#43
8.40.7
11.410.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed