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Red45
644412.9
463521.5
531216.1
Blue56
74219.5
393317.5
477518.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340204060804556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.3
13.714.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 3.4
18.12.3
13.015.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Second
5312
#10
16.11.3
11.312.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End3.4
blue by 1.4
3933
#11
17.52.3
11.914.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Third
6444
#23
12.91.3
8.59.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 3.4
7421
#15
9.52.3
7.49.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed