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Red6
68968.2
729911.5
75469.4
Blue31
352610.1
610614.6
40106.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283210204050631

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7299
#21
11.52.3
9.47.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.2
blue by 3.1
6106
#17
14.60.6
11.511.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Second
7546
#40
9.42.3
7.75.4
Auto4.3
Teleop2.0
End3.1
blue by 0.7
3526
#33
10.10.6
9.58.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Third
6896
#35
8.22.3
9.27.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.5
red by 1.7
4010
#22
6.50.6
9.18.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed