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Red33
634810.9
51337.7
315822.2
Blue40
601714.1
59599.6
621811.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332601020405060703340

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
13.413.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.4
red by 8.0
6017
#13
14.11.7
8.710.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Second
6348
#12
10.90.2
8.99.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.5
blue by 0.2
6218
#25
11.11.7
7.79.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Third
5133
#39
7.70.2
8.78.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 1.9
5959
#31
9.61.7
8.410.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed