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Red18
74219.5
729911.5
66766.6
Blue6
51337.7
66665.2
68968.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28270102040506070186

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7299
#21
11.51.0
7.16.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.2
red by 3.3
6896
#35
8.22.1
7.04.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Second
7421
#15
9.51.0
9.78.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 1.7
5133
#39
7.72.1
8.96.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Third
6676
#26
6.61.0
10.19.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.4
red by 1.5
6666
#36
5.22.1
9.37.1
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed