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Red27
393317.5
35107.2
47826.9
Blue14
75469.4
617012.1
473510.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2926102040502714

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#11
17.50.1
14.214.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 5.4
6170
#29
12.11.1
10.69.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Second
3510
#24
7.20.1
8.48.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 3.2
4735
#42
10.41.1
8.37.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
4782
#20
6.90.1
5.15.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 2.5
7546
#40
9.41.1
5.44.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed