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Red37
393317.5
617012.1
729911.5
Blue42
77258.5
634810.9
669414.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3128152025354045503742

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#11
17.50.8
14.114.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 3.1
14.41.7
10.712.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.2
Second
6170
#29
12.10.8
9.410.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End2.3
red by 1.1
6348
#12
10.91.7
9.711.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Third
7299
#21
11.50.8
6.16.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.2
red by 3.0
7725
#18
8.51.7
6.17.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed