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Red33
477518.1
710211.1
66665.2
Blue41
315822.2
47826.9
664718.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333620253040453341

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.2
15.615.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End3.7
blue by 4.1
22.20.8
13.914.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.4
Second
7102
#32
11.10.2
8.58.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.8
blue by 7.1
6647
#16
18.20.8
15.015.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End3.9
Third
6666
#36
5.20.2
7.17.3
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.7
blue by 1.7
4782
#20
6.90.8
5.05.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed