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Red40
617012.1
477518.1
621811.1
Blue21
40106.5
473510.4
620010.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352610203040504021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.1
15.815.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End3.7
red by 7.4
6200
#30
10.71.1
10.59.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Second
6170
#29
12.10.1
10.310.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End2.3
red by 1.7
4735
#42
10.41.1
8.97.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
6218
#25
11.10.1
7.47.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.3
red by 4.6
4010
#22
6.51.1
5.64.4
Auto1.5
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed