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Red27
315822.2
440018.9
594810.1
Blue8
44039.0
43558.4
66766.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36251020304050278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.8
14.713.9
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.4
red by 13.1
4403
#14
9.01.7
8.66.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Second
18.90.8
12.711.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
red by 10.6
4355
#43
8.41.7
7.05.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Third
5948
#34
10.10.8
7.16.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End2.4
red by 3.5
6676
#26
6.61.7
8.06.3
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed