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Red30
634810.9
352610.1
348017.5
Blue21
60106.7
710211.1
35107.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362710203040503021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.4
13.813.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 6.5
7102
#32
11.10.5
8.78.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Second
6348
#12
10.90.4
11.411.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 3.7
3510
#24
7.20.5
8.27.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.8
Third
3526
#33
10.10.4
8.88.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End1.8
red by 3.4
6010
#38
6.70.5
8.78.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed