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Red27
348017.5
66665.2
463521.5
Blue9
47826.9
40106.5
68968.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424110203050607080279

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.4
15.413.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 13.3
6896
#35DQ
8.23.3
13.610.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Second
17.51.4
12.611.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 10.6
4782
#20DQ
6.93.3
11.38.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
6666
#36
5.21.4
12.010.5
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.7
blue by 1.4
4010
#22DQ
6.53.3
13.510.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed