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Red15
669414.4
601714.1
44039.0
Blue11
473510.4
352610.1
644412.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383815253035401511

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.42.3
11.79.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.2
red by 1.5
6444
#23
12.92.8
11.48.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Second
6017
#13
14.12.3
11.18.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
red by 3.7
4735
#42
10.42.8
12.39.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
4403
#14
9.02.3
12.910.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 1.1
3526
#33
10.12.8
12.69.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed