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Red43
66665.2
440018.9
47826.9
Blue34
51337.7
58749.9
610614.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2930010204050604334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.6
15.315.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
red by 4.3
6106
#17
14.60.7
12.513.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Second
4782
#20
6.90.6
6.47.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 3.0
5874
#37
9.90.6
9.410.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Third
6666
#36
5.20.6
5.56.1
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.7
blue by 2.6
5133
#39
7.70.7
6.26.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed