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Red54
473510.4
458414.3
531216.1
Blue58
710211.1
644412.9
315822.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40421020305060705458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#10
16.11.3
15.516.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End3.4
blue by 6.0
22.20.9
19.520.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.4
Second
14.31.3
13.114.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
red by 1.4
6444
#23
12.91.1
10.611.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
4735
#42
10.41.4
9.010.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 0.7
7102
#32
11.11.0
9.410.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed