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Red44
458414.3
347821.1
634810.9
Blue34
473510.4
610614.6
66665.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483110204060704434

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.1
19.919.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End5.4
red by 6.5
6106
#17
14.60.4
14.314.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Second
14.30.1
14.414.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
red by 3.9
4735
#42
10.40.4
10.010.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
6348
#12
10.90.1
11.010.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 5.8
6666
#36
5.20.4
5.55.8
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed