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Red40
348017.5
47826.9
59599.6
Blue38
620010.7
61567.8
74219.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3529010204050604038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.1
16.716.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 6.8
6200
#30
10.70.2
10.510.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Second
5959
#31
9.60.1
9.59.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
red by 0.1
7421
#15
9.50.2
9.29.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Third
4782
#20
6.90.1
6.86.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 0.9
6156
#41
7.80.2
7.67.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed