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Red55
531222.1
460321.0
648310.1
Blue39
440018.5
552613.8
689614.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4646354050555539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.8
17.718.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End4.8
red by 3.6
4400
#12
18.50.3
18.318.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.5
Second
4603
#16
21.00.8
19.420.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End2.2
red by 6.4
14.60.3
14.113.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Third
6483
#23
10.11.2
6.47.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.7
blue by 3.6
5526
#30
13.80.3
11.311.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed