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Red45
347214.2
70186.3
620016.7
Blue41
768711.9
765313.6
617014.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34371020304050604541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.8
14.615.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 2.1
6170
#13
14.60.4
13.914.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Second
3472
#18
14.20.8
12.813.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.8
red by 0.6
7653
#14
13.60.6
11.111.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Third
7018
#33
6.31.2
5.16.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End1.6
blue by 5.6
7687
#27
11.90.6
9.910.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed