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Red46
660814.9
716116.6
696511.7
Blue47
770613.9
473513.8
76999.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3937203050604647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7161
#21
16.60.6
14.815.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.6
red by 2.7
7706
#11
13.90.0
13.813.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Second
6608
#17
14.90.9
13.514.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.0
red by 1.1
13.80.0
13.613.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
6965
#34
11.70.9
8.89.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End3.2
red by 2.2
7699
#31
9.50.0
7.87.8
Auto1.8
Teleop5.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed