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Red42
570512.9
70409.0
772515.8
Blue50
440018.5
664724.6
61996.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3548102030406070804250

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7725
#20
15.80.6
12.613.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 8.8
24.60.3
23.023.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End5.5
Second
5705
#15
12.90.9
11.812.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End3.1
blue by 5.6
4400
#12
18.50.3
18.018.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.5
Third
7040
#25
9.00.9
8.59.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.3
End1.8
red by 2.8
6199
#28
6.20.4
4.85.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed